کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5041700 1474155 2017 17 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Paranormal belief and errors of probabilistic reasoning: The role of constituent conditional relatedness in believers' susceptibility to the conjunction fallacy
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
اعتقاد عرفانی و اشتباهات استدلال احتمالاتی: نقش وابستگی مشروطی مشروط به حساسیت مؤمنان به اشتباه ارتباط
کلمات کلیدی
باور عقلی، اشتباه قراردادن، مشروط مرتبط، تعجب، استدلال احتمالاتی،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علم عصب شناسی علوم اعصاب شناختی
چکیده انگلیسی


- Belief in psychokinesis predicted more conjunction errors (CEs).
- Belief in extrasensory perception and life after death did not predict CEs.
- More CEs were made for conditionally related (verses unrelated) constituent events.
- Higher estimates of the more surprising constituent predicted fewer CEs.
- Generally less qualified individuals also made more CEs.

The present study examines the extent to which stronger belief in either extrasensory perception, psychokinesis or life-after-death is associated with a proneness to making conjunction errors (CEs). One hundred and sixty members of the UK public read eight hypothetical scenarios and for each estimated the likelihood that two constituent events alone plus their conjunction would occur. The impact of paranormal belief plus constituents' conditional relatedness type, estimates of the subjectively less likely and more likely constituents plus relevant interaction terms tested via three Generalized Linear Mixed Models. General qualification levels were controlled for. As expected, stronger PK beliefs and depiction of a positively conditionally related (verses conditionally unrelated) constituent pairs predicted higher CE generation. ESP and LAD beliefs had no impact with, surprisingly, higher estimates of the less likely constituent predicting fewer - not more - CEs. Theoretical implications, methodological issues and ideas for future research are discussed.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Consciousness and Cognition - Volume 56, November 2017, Pages 13-29
نویسندگان
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