Keywords: F47; E31; E37Inflation forecasts; Consensus survey; Rational expectations; Cross-sectional dependence; Panel estimation
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Keywords: Trade policy; Imperfect competition; Heterogeneous firms; Non-tariff measures; Simulations; F12; F14; F47;
Keywords: Growth models; Long-run relations; Oil exporters; Kuwaiti economy; Oil revenue and foreign output shocks; C32; C53; E17; F43; F47; Q32;
Keywords: C32; E43; E47; F44; F47; Interest rates; Subjective uncertainty; Surveys of professional forecasters; Macroeconomic fluctuations; Structural VAR;
Keywords: Monetary fundamentals; Exchange rate disconnect puzzle; Variance decomposition; C5; F31; F47;
Keywords: Inflation dynamics; Open-economy Phillips curve; Forecasting; C21; C23; C53; F41; F47; F62;
Keywords: Lower bound; Structural reforms; Monetary policy; Dynamic general equilibrium models; E52; F42; F47;
Keywords: F31; F41; F47; Interest rate; Exchange rate; Monetary policy rule; Uncovered interest parity;
Keywords: Crude oil returns; Volatility forecasting; Jumps; C22; C53; F47; G17; Q47;
Keywords: Minimum wage; global labor standards; race to the bottom; multinationals; dsge; F12; F55; F47; J8; J42; O17; O19; salario mÃnimo; estándares laborales internacionales; carrera hacia la depauperación; multinacionales; dsge; F12; F55; F47; J8; J42; O17;
Keywords: C32; C53; C58; F37; F47; G17; Dynamic model averaging; State space representation; Dynamic occam's window; Forecasting; Trading rule;
Keywords: C53; F31; F47; G15; Survey expectations; Exchange rates; Rationality; Forecasting;
Keywords: F53; F47; C68; Mega trade deal; China; General equilibrium; Impacts;
Keywords: Fiscal devaluation; Trade balance; Dynamic general equilibrium modeling; F32; F47; H20;
Keywords: E62; F17; F47; Fiscal devaluation; Partial equilibrium model simulation; Southeastern Europe;
Keywords: G01; G15; F37; F38; F47; Macroprudential oversight; Risk communication; Visualization; Analytical visualization; Interactive visualization; VisRisk;
Keywords: C32; E17; F44; F47; O53; Q43; Country-specific oil supply shocks; Identification of shocks; Oil sanctions; Oil prices; Global oil markets; Iran; Saudi Arabia; International business cycle; Global VAR (GVAR); Interconnectedness; Impulse responses;
Keywords: Exchange rates; Emerging markets; Forecasts; Direction of change; D84; F31; F47;
Keywords: Financial crisis; Asymmetric loss; Central bank intervention; Herding; Monetary policy; F31; F47; D84;
Keywords: Climate policy; Copenhagen pledges; Carbon leakage; Fossil energy markets; F47; Q54; Q56;
Keywords: F42; F43; F47; China; Imbalances; Saving; Monetary policy; Spill-overs;
Keywords: Monetary fundamentals; Exchange rates; Permanent-transitory decomposition; C22; F31; F47;
Keywords: C33; E44; F47; G01; Systemic risk; Financial stress; Financial crisis; Early warning indicators; Bayesian model averaging; Early warning system;
Keywords: C11; C53; F37; F47; Q02; Bayesian; State space models; Gold; Macroeconomic fundamentals; Forecasting;
Keywords: G15; F37; F44; F47; Market liquidity; Real economy; Economic indicators; Granger causality panel data; Dumitrescu Hurlin;
Keywords: Exchange rates; Crude oil prices; Granger causality; Panel cointegration; Variance decomposition; F31; F37; F47; F65;
Keywords: C13; C52; F31; F47; Trade intensity; Deviations from PPP; Exchange rate volatility; Carry trades; Mean reversion;
Keywords: C33; E44; E58; F47; G01; Crises; Developed countries; Early warning indicators; Bayesian model averaging; Macro-prudential policies;
Keywords: F47; G21Trade shock; Bayesian VAR; Stress testing
Keywords: Emerging market bond spreads; Risk aversion; Principal components; Pool mean groupC33; F34; F47; G15
Keywords: Exchange rate forecasting; Taylor rules; Real-time data; Out-of-sample test StatisticsC23; C53; E32; E52; F31; F47
Keywords: Common cycles; Common features; Metal commodity prices; Forecast combinationC3; C5; F44; F47
Keywords: C32; E17; F44; F47; Q41; Global VAR (GVAR); Interconnectedness; Global macroeconomic modeling; Sign restrictions; Impulse responses; International business cycle; Oil-demand and oil-supply shocks;
Keywords: C53; E61; F31; F47; Commodity prices; CPI and PPI inflation forecasts; Inflation targeting;
Keywords: F47; C11; C32; Contagion; Subprime crisis; OECD housing markets; VAR/BVAR models; Bayesian shrinkage;
Keywords: F31; F47; Fundamentals; Forecast combinations; Random walks; Out-of-sample forecasts; Economic significance;
Keywords: F32; F42; F47; Global imbalances; Exchange-rate regimes; China; Structural reforms;
Keywords: F31; F37; F41; F47; Taylor rule exchange rate model; Forecasting; Emerging economies; Panel data; Bootstrap;
Keywords: F31; F47; Exchange rates; Price misalignments; In-sample forecasting; Out-of-sample forecasting; Superior predictive ability test;
A new GARCH model with higher moments for stock return predictability
Keywords: F47; G12; G17; GARCH; Predictive regression; Higher order moments; Data frequencies;
EAGLE-FLI: A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area
Keywords: D53; E32; E44; F45; F47; Banks; DSGE models; Financial frictions; Open-economy macroeconomics; Policy analysis;
Oil prices and the global economy: Is it different this time around?
Keywords: C32; E32; F44; F47; O51; Q43; Oil prices; Equity prices; Dividends; Economic growth; Oil supply; Global oil markets; International business cycle;
Analyzing the effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership on FDI in a CGE framework with firm heterogeneity
Keywords: F15; F47; C68; RCEP; FDI; Firm heterogeneity; CGE;
Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models
Keywords: Forecasting; Exchange rates; New open economy macroeconomics; Mean reversion; C32; F31; F41; F47;
Estimating the effects of FX-related macroprudential policies in Korea
Keywords: F32; F38; F41; F47; FX-related macroprudential policies; Qual VAR; Bayesian VAR; Conditional forecasts;
A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)
Keywords: F17; F47; E37; World trade; Leading indicators; Factor models;
Size and power of tests based on Permanent-Transitory Component Models
Keywords: C32; F47; G17; Efficient Markets Hypothesis; Permanent-Transitory Component Models; MC simulations;
Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR
Keywords: C53; E37; F47; GVAR; Global economy; Forecast evaluation; Log score; Copula;
The financial and fiscal stress interconnectedness: The case of G5 economies
Keywords: E44; F42; F47; G01; Financial stress; Fiscal stress; Spillover index; Causality index; Macroprudential policies;
Global prediction of recessions
Keywords: C53; E17; E37; F41; F47; GVAR; Recession forecast; QPS; Probability forecast;