Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
10477152 Journal of International Economics 2005 14 Pages PDF
Abstract
Defending a government's exchange-rate commitment with active interest rate policy is not an option in first-generation models of speculative attacks. In those models, the interest rate is the passive reflection of currency-depreciation expectations. In this paper, we show how to adapt the first-generation framework to allow for an interest rate defense. It is shown that increasing domestic currency interest rate before the attack makes domestic assets more attractive according to an asset substitution effect, but weakens the domestic currency by increasing the government's fiscal liabilities. As a result, an interest rate defense can be successful only conditional on sound fiscal policy.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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