Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
10503918 Electoral Studies 2012 14 Pages PDF
Abstract
► In this study we re-evaluate realigning elections in the United States from 1860 to 2008. ► By using county level data we estimate vote transfers between major parties. ► We find that 1932 was the only election that exhibits all the characteristics of a critical election. ► We also find a lack of evidence for oscillations in partisan presidential vote choice. ► We finally find a lack of evidence for realignments in the most recent elections.
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