Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
10732760 | Chaos, Solitons & Fractals | 2015 | 13 Pages |
Abstract
In the present paper, these data are revisited using a global modeling technique. This technique is applied to both single and multivariate observational time series. Several models are obtained for which a chaotic behavior can be observed. Obtaining such models proves that the dynamics of plague can be approximated by low-dimensional deterministic systems that can produce chaos. The multivariate models give a strong argument for interactive couplings between the epidemic and the epizootics of the two main species of rat. An interpretation of this coupling is given.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Physics and Astronomy
Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
Authors
Sylvain Mangiarotti,