Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
108227 Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 2014 17 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We review and compare seven threshold models addressing technological transitions.•Our key insight holds that the very same phenomenon of a technological transition can be explained by very different logics.•We discuss how threshold models can be used to understand sustainability transitions.•Our review serves as a menu for future modelling exercises of more models of technological transition applied to specific cases.

We present a systematic review of seven threshold models of technological transitions from physics, biology, economics and sociology. The very same phenomenon of a technological transition can be explained by very different logics, ranging from economic explanations based on price, performance and increasing returns to alternative explanations based on word-of-mouth recommendation, convergence of expectations, or social mimicking behaviour. Our review serves as a menu for future modelling exercises that can take one or more elementary transition models as a basis, and extend these model to fit more specific sectoral, technological or territorial contexts.

Related Topics
Life Sciences Environmental Science Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
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