Simulating Logistic Innovation in a Growing Urban Environment

A modelling framework to simulate Urban Goods Movements (UGMs) is presented. It is based on two models designed to estimate the road space consumption of Inter-Establishment Movements (IEMs) and End Consumer Movements (ECMs). Two kinds of evolution of the environment are considered: the long term evolution and the seasonal fluctuation of the economic activity. We then present how a scenario involving an Urban Consolidation Centre (UCC) can be modelled. First, we evaluate which movements are potentially transferable to the UCC. Then, we define a catchment area. Finally, we evaluate the efficiency of the UCC by referring to continuous approximation methods.