Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1141114 Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2009 12 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper considers testing for jumps in the exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models with Gaussian and Student-t innovations. The Wald and log likelihood ratio tests contain a nuisance parameter unidentified under the null hypothesis of no jumps, and hence are unavailable for this problem, because jump probability and variance of jumps in the test statistic cannot be estimated under the null hypothesis of no jumps. It is shown that the nuisance parameter is cancelled out in the Lagrange multiplier (LM) test statistic, and hence that the test is nuisance parameter-free. The one-sided test is also proposed using the nonnegative constraint on jump variance. The actual size and power of the tests are examined in a Monte Carlo experiment. The test is applied to daily returns of S&P 500 as an illustrative example.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Engineering Control and Systems Engineering
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