Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1141380 Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2006 6 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper investigates the behaviour of US stock prices using an unrestricted two-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) model with an autoregressive unit root. The TAR model is applied to monthly stock price (NYSE Common Stocks) data for the US for the period 1964:06 to 2003:04. Amongst our main results, we find that the US stock price is a nonlinear series that is characterized by a unit root process, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Engineering Control and Systems Engineering
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