Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
1152660 Statistics & Probability Letters 2010 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

The geometric mean reversion process X(⋅)X(⋅) is well known to play a fundamental role in economic dynamic models. While it is known, at least since Merton (1975), that the equilibrium distribution of geometric mean reversion, i.e. the distribution of X(∞)X(∞), is a gamma distribution, an explicit expression for the non-equilibrium distribution, i.e. the distribution of X(t)X(t) for t<∞t<∞, has not been known. The main result of this article is an analytic formula which computes the probability density function of X(t)X(t).

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Statistics and Probability
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