Past Trends for the UK Energy Scenarios: How Close are their Predictions to Reality?

This study provides an exploration of the future energy trends in the UK by assessing existing energy scenarios studies and their predictions compared with actual data. The criteria for inclusion were to be national in scope, backcasting and comprehensive (covering the electricity sector). The importance of assessing the historic energy system projections could conduct us to improvements in future energy scenarios. The three studies considered relate to the same four factors: growth indicators, fuel prices, new installations and power stations retirement. The scenarios review revealed several common and different themes although all were developed under the same national targets.