MODERGIS application: Integrated simulation platform to promote and develop renewable sustainable energy plans, Colombian case study

This research presents the MODERGIS Integrated Simulation's Platform as a tool to promote and develop renewable energy plans under sustainability criteria, in order to increment the participation of renewable technologies in the national “energy mix” and shows an application to Colombia as a case study. Potential zones of solar and wind energy and productive areas were determined for bio-energies, by means of a geographical information system which simulated energy scenarios influenced by climatic phenomena up to the year 2030. Results yield potentials of 26,600 MW in wind energy and 350,000 MW in solar energy. Bioenergy potentiates in a sustainable way of 366,310 km per biomass, 291,486 km in African palm, 9,667 km in sugar cane. These scenarios were simulated in a supply/demand with time horizons up until 2030, including an analysis of the effects on the energy systems of the El Niño Southern Oscillation atmospheric component (ENSO). Finally, in order to obtain an appropriate mix of renewable sources that could be introduced in the national energy mix, the Multi-Criteria Analysis method VIKOR was used, allowing to perform performing 5151 possible combinations of renewable projects; the optimal selection corresponds to 600 MW from wind power, 740 MW solar photovoltaic and 660 MW solar thermoelectric. Giving these results to the new scene allowed for incrementing the participation of renewable technologies up to a 0.23% in the current year and up to a 7% of the “energy mix” in the year 2030.