Resonant interaction between two planetary waves as a precursor for stratospheric warmings?

Stratospheric warmings are attributed to an enhanced planetary wave activity, occurring nearly each winter – at least in the northern hemisphere – with different strengths. The generation of stratospheric warmings is not totally understood. One of the most promising explanations is the interaction of planetary waves: in many cases, the amplitude of the quasi-stationary planetary wave 1 builds up, until it transmits its momentum and energy to the background wind field. The role of wave 2 is usually considered to be less important.Based on ERA-40 and DYANA temperature data (January–February 1990), we found evidence that a resonant wave–wave interaction between a travelling and a stationary wave 2 was responsible for a minor stratospheric warming in February 1990. The interaction being observed during four weeks can eventually be used as an indication for an upcoming stratospheric warming.

Research highlights► Resonant wave–wave interaction (planetary wave no. 2) probably responsible for a minor stratwarm. ► Usage of ERA-40 and DYANA temperature data (January–February 1990). ► Interaction observable during four weeks before the stratospheric warming. ► Eventually usable as an indication for an upcoming event.