| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1777620 | Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics | 2009 | 6 Pages |
Abstract
In this paper, we attempt to fit sensible heat fluxes obtained by the profile method between 1–2 and 1–4 m height into the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) family. In both the profiles, fluxes are found to fit into the first-order autoregression [AR (1)] model, which is the continuous analog of the first-order Markov chain. The ARIMA (1, 0, 0) model was able to simulate the heat flux value for 1 h in advance for both the profiles (1–2 and 1–4 m height) generating a prediction error of 18.28% and 4.95%, respectively.
Keywords
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Earth and Planetary Sciences
Geophysics
Authors
Manoj Kumar, Anil Kumar, N.C. Mahanti, Chinmay Mallik, Ripunjay K. Shukla,