Predicting osteoporosis in patients with a low-energy fracture

The multicenter cross-sectional study was designed to develop a simple rule to predict the risk of osteoporosis in the patients with a low-energy fracture (LEF). Furthermore, we aimed to investigate the incidence of fall-related risk factors. We included 206 patients with age over 50 and an LEF at the emergency room. All patients underwent osteoporosis and fall risk assessment and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) of both hips and the lumbar spine. The incidence of osteoporosis in our study population was 41% (84 cases of 206). Fifty-four percent of the patients reported at least one fall-related risk factor. Mobility problems occurred in 31% and osteoarthritis in 19%. The final osteoporosis prediction rule included age, positive family history, immobility, and low-body weight. The discrimination of the rule after correction for over-optimism was good (receiver operating curve (ROC) = ROC area = 0.79). This simple rule may be helpful to select patients who need further osteoporosis assessment.