Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
2075884 | Biosystems | 2015 | 16 Pages |
Abstract
This paper investigates the dynamics of an SIR model of childhood vaccination under the assumption that the vaccination uptake rate depends on past values of disease prevalence. The delay kernel is a high order Erlang function, which allows no instantaneous feedback between prevalence at time t and vaccinations at time t. Multiple types of endemic equilibria are found, as are stable and unstable equilibria, periodic orbits, dependence on initial conditions, and apparent chaos.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Mathematics
Modelling and Simulation
Authors
John C. Eckalbar, Walter L. Eckalbar,