Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
2075884 Biosystems 2015 16 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper investigates the dynamics of an SIR model of childhood vaccination under the assumption that the vaccination uptake rate depends on past values of disease prevalence. The delay kernel is a high order Erlang function, which allows no instantaneous feedback between prevalence at time t and vaccinations at time t. Multiple types of endemic equilibria are found, as are stable and unstable equilibria, periodic orbits, dependence on initial conditions, and apparent chaos.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Modelling and Simulation
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