Consequence analysis of blast wave from accidental gas explosions

Recently, consequence analyses of accidental gas explosions are often carried out to assess the risk of chemical plants, hazardous-materials sites and new energy systems. In these consequence analyses, it is indispensable to adequately predict the blast-wave (pressure-wave) intensity from gas deflagrations. Some prediction models already exist; however, most of them are based on the theory for explosives and adjusting parameters are needed for evaluating gas deflagrations. In this study, new prediction methods for gas deflagrations were developed. From theoretical analysis of blast-wave generation by a gas deflagration, an evaluation equation of the blast-wave intensity was derived. As the scale of gas deflagration becomes larger, flame front instability (especially hydrodynamic instability) would be more effective and the flame propagating velocity starts to be accelerated. Therefore, the equation was modified considering the effect of flame instability. The evaluations by this modified equation agreed well with the results of large scale experiments. By this analysis, it was found that not only total energy release but also combustion reaction rate has to be introduced into the prediction of gas deflagrations. Using this concept, a modified scale model to predict the blast-wave intensity was developed by improving the previous scale model introducing the term of combustion reaction rate as burning velocity. Furthermore, scale analysis was performed to develop the new scaling law. The universal relationship between scaled distance and overpressure has been realized by this new scaling law for gas deflagrations. In summary, these results provide new methods for accurate prediction of the blast-wave intensity from gas deflagrations.