Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
292513 | Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics | 2013 | 5 Pages |
•Bootstrapping methods are used to calibrate extreme value analysis methods for peak-over-threshold wind (POT) speed observations.•The Generalised Pareto methodology is demonstrated to be unsuitable for wind speed data.•When the observations comprise Storm maxima or n-day maxima, the population of the missing values below the threshold is known.•The most accurate analysis is obtained by fitting the POT observations to a left-censored distribution.
This paper uses Bootstrapping methods to calibrate the accuracy of estimating the design once in 50 year wind speed, V50, from peak-over-threshold wind speed observations. It confirms previous studies showing that the generalised Pareto distribution is not a satisfactory model for extreme wind speeds. It demonstrates that when n-day maxima are used the value of the total population of independent events is known. This allows the peak-over-threshold observations to be represented by a left-censored probability distribution, eliminating mean bias and greatly reducing the standard error in the V50 estimates.