Reliability prediction of I&C cable insulation materials by DSC and Weibull theory for probabilistic safety assessment of NPPs

•An approach for time dependent reliability prediction of I&C cable insulation materials for use in PSA of NPP has been developed based on OIT and OITp measurement, and Weibull theory.•OITs were determined from the measured OITp based on the fundamental thermodynamics principles, and the correlations obtained from DSC and FTIR are in good agreement with the EAB.•The SEM of thermal and irradiated samples of insulation materials was performed to support the degradation behaviour observed from OIT and EAB measurements.•The proposed methodology has been illustrated with the accelerated thermal and radiation ageing data on low voltage cables used in NPP for I&C applications.•The time dependent reliability predicted from the OIT based on Weibull theory will be useful in incorporating the cable ageing into PSA of NPP.

Instrumentation and control (I&C) cables used in nuclear power plants (NPPs) are exposed to various deteriorative environmental effects during their operational lifetime. The factors consisting of long-term irradiation and enhanced temperature eventually result in insulation degradation. Monitoring of the actual state of the cable insulation and the prediction of their residual service life consist of the measurement of the properties that are directly proportional to the functionality of the cables (usually, elongation at break is used as the critical parameter). Although, several condition monitoring (CM) and life estimation techniques are available, currently there is no any standard methodology or an approach towards incorporating the cable ageing effects into probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of NPPs. In view of this, accelerated thermal and radiation ageing of I&C cable insulation materials have been carried out and the degradation due to thermal and radiation ageing has been assessed using oxidation induction time (OIT) and oxidation induction temperature (OITp) measurements by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). As elongation at break (EAB) is considered to be a benchmark characterization technique for polymeric materials, tensile tests have also been carried out on these cable materials for correlating with DSC findings. The Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy has also been carried out on fresh and irradiated samples to monitor the structural changes in the insulation materials. The correlations obtained from DSC and FTIR studies are relatively in good agreement with the tensile testing results. The images of scanning electron microscopy (SEM) on fresh and aged samples support the degradation predicted from infrared spectroscopy, thermal and mechanical measurements. The time dependent reliability predicted from the OIT based on Weibull theory will be useful in incorporating the cable ageing into PSA of NPPs.