Effect of direction on wind speed estimation in complex terrain using neural networks

A method of estimating the annual average wind speed at a selected site using neural networks is presented. The method proposed uses only a few measurements taken at the selected site in a short time period and data collected at nearby fixed stations.The neural network used in this study is a multilayer perceptron with one hidden layer of 15 neurons, trained by the Bayesian regularization algorithm. The number of inputs that must be used in the neural network was analyzed in detail, and results suggest that only wind speed and direction data for a single station are required. In sites of complex terrain, direction is a very important input that can cause a decrease of 23% in root mean square (RMS).The results obtained by simulating the annual average wind speed at the selected site based on data from nearby stations are satisfactory, with errors below 2%.