Role of baseline nodule density and changes in density and nodule features in the discrimination between benign and malignant solid indeterminate pulmonary nodules

PurposeTo retrospectively evaluate whether baseline nodule density or changes in density or nodule features could be used to discriminate between benign and malignant solid indeterminate nodules.Materials and methodsSolid indeterminate nodules between 50 and 500 mm3 (4.6–9.8 mm) were assessed at 3 and 12 months after baseline lung cancer screening (NELSON study). Nodules were classified based on morphology (spherical or non-spherical), shape (round, polygonal or irregular) and margin (smooth, lobulated, spiculated or irregular). The mean CT density of the nodule was automatically generated in Hounsfield units (HU) by the Lungcare© software.ResultsFrom April 2004 to July 2006, 7310 participants underwent baseline screening. In 312 participants 372 solid purely intra-parenchymal nodules were found. Of them, 16 (4%) were malignant. Benign nodules were 82.8 mm3 (5.4 mm) and malignant nodules 274.5 mm3 (8.1 mm) (p = 0.000). Baseline CT density for benign nodules was 42.7 HU and for malignant nodules −2.2 HU (p = ns). The median change in density for benign nodules was −0.1 HU and for malignant nodules 12.8 HU (p < 0.05). Compared to benign nodules, malignant nodules were more often non-spherical, irregular, lobulated or spiculated at baseline, 3-month and 1-year follow-up (p < 0.0001). In the majority of the benign and malignant nodules there was no change in morphology, shape and margin during 1 year of follow-up (p = ns).ConclusionBaseline nodule density and changes in nodule features cannot be used to discriminate between benign and malignant solid indeterminate pulmonary nodules, but an increase in density is suggestive for malignancy and requires a shorter follow-up or a biopsy.