North of the 46° parallel: Obstacles and challenges to recycling in Ontario’s rural and northern communities

•There are economic challenges to recycling in Ontario’s rural/northern communities.•Cost model developed to quantify the economic and diversion impacts.•Eliminating recycling programs in rural/northern regions significantly reduces costs.•Targeting specific regions for recovery increases recycling performance.

This study examines the economic challenges of recycling in Ontario’s rural and northern areas. Specifically, this study quantifies the economic and diversion impact of operating recycling programs in these regions. Using a systems based cost model, focus is placed on analyzing: (1) What would happen to provincial recycling costs and diversion levels if recycling programs were eliminated in “high cost” northern and rural communities? (2) Is it possible to increase the provincial recycling rate by focusing investments in low cost, high performance regions (while simultaneously eliminating recycling programs in rural and northern areas)? (3) How would the mix of material recovered change if recycling programs were eliminated in rural and northern areas? The results of this analysis show that eliminating recycling programs in high cost regions significantly decreased system costs without negatively impacting overall recycling rates. This study also found that it was possible to increase the provincial recycling rate while simultaneously reducing program costs by targeting specific regions for recovery. The findings of this study suggest that Ontario reevaluate whether rural and northern municipalities be legislatively required to operate household recycling programs.