Nilpotent singularities and dynamics in an SIR type of compartmental model with hospital resources

An SIR type of compartmental model with a standard incidence rate and a nonlinear recovery rate was formulated to study the impact of available resources of public health system especially the number of hospital beds. Cusp, focus and elliptic type of nilpotent singularities of codimension 3 are discovered and analyzed in this three dimensional model. Complex dynamics of disease transmission including multi-steady states and multi-periodicity are revealed by bifurcation analysis. Large-amplitude oscillations found in our model provide a more reasonable explanation for disease recurrence. With clinical data, our studies have practical implications for the prevention and control of infectious diseases.