Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4625967 Applied Mathematics and Computation 2016 13 Pages PDF
Abstract

In this paper, the dynamics of a stochastic SIS model with Lévy jumps are investigated. We first prove that this model has a unique global positive solution starting from the positive initial value. Then, taking the accumulated jump size into account, we find a threshold of the model, denoted by R˜0, which completely determines the extinction and prevalence of the disease: if R˜0<1, the disease dies out exponentially with probability one; if R˜0>1, the solution of the model tends to a point in time average which leads to the stochastical persistence of the disease. From the view of epidemiology, the existence of threshold is useful in determining treatment strategies and forecasting epidemic dynamics. Moreover, we find that Lévy noise can suppress disease outbreak. Finally, we introduce some numerical simulations to support the main results obtained.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Applied Mathematics
Authors
, , ,