Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4627688 Applied Mathematics and Computation 2014 11 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We create pattern constructs for synergistic mechanisms of climate related factors.•We formulate a local scale model forecasting the climate related cost distribution.•We provide the framework for efficient computation of this model in Mathematica.

One climate related phenomenon could affect many more. The direct costs associated to climate related factors pass to a number of other climate related costs through the indirect economic consequences of climate change. In this paper we propose a mathematical model which aims to provide forecasts of the distribution of the costs caused by the synergistic mechanism of environmental effects. The model is created to be directly applied to situations where the primary costs associated to climate related factors can be specified. It is expressed in matrix terms and is programmed using Mathematica’s matrix functions. We provide the framework for efficient computation of this model, covering possible linear and nonlinear functions of the impact mechanism for costs and, infinite direct cost scenarios. Some directions for the quantitative estimation of impact indicators and adaptation potentials of the costs incurred by certain climate related factors are included, in order to apply the proposed model using real socioeconomic data.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Applied Mathematics
Authors
, ,