Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4636938 Applied Mathematics and Computation 2006 15 Pages PDF
Abstract

This article builds on prior work done in [M. Nwogugu, Towards multifactor models of decision making and risk: a critique of prospect theory and related approaches, part one, Journal of Risk Finance 6 (2) (2005) 150–162; M. Nwogugu, Towards multifactor models of decision making and risk: a critique of prospect theory and related approaches, part two, Journal of Risk Finance 6 (2) (2005) 163–172], and proves that cumulative prospect theory/prospect theory and related models are inaccurate and were derived from improper methods and calculations. Furthermore, evidence from neuro-biology shows that the natural mental processes of human beings will result in decision making patterns that differ from what is predicted and implicit in cumulative prospect theory and prospect theory.Decision making and risk assessment are multi-criteria processes that typically require some processing of information, and thus cannot be defined accurately by rigid quantitative models. CPT/PT do not incorporate the many psychological, legal, biological, knowledge, and situational price-dynamic factors inherent in decision making. Thus, there is a need for more realistic decision models.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Applied Mathematics
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