Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4664371 Acta Mathematica Scientia 2009 14 Pages PDF
Abstract

Under a very general condition (TNC condition) we show that the spectral radius of the kernel of a general branching process is a threshold parameter and hence plays a role as the basic reproduction number in usual CMJ processes. We discuss also some properties of the extinction probability and the generating operator of general branching processes. As an application in epidemics, in the final section we suggest a generalization of SIR model which can describe infectious diseases transmission in an inhomogeneous population.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Mathematics (General)