Prediction of peak ground acceleration of Iran's tectonic regions using a hybrid soft computing technique

•A hybrid artificial neural network and simulated annealing is proposed for modeling.•A new model is derived to predict the peak ground acceleration Iran's tectonic regions.•The models are established based on records of 36 earthquakes.•The proposed models are also compared with ten other well-known models.

A new model is derived to predict the peak ground acceleration (PGA) utilizing a hybrid method coupling artificial neural network (ANN) and simulated annealing (SA), called SA-ANN. The proposed model relates PGA to earthquake source to site distance, earthquake magnitude, average shear-wave velocity, faulting mechanisms, and focal depth. A database of strong ground-motion recordings of 36 earthquakes, which happened in Iran's tectonic regions, is used to establish the model. For more validity verification, the SA-ANN model is employed to predict the PGA of a part of the database beyond the training data domain. The proposed SA-ANN model is compared with the simple ANN in addition to 10 well-known models proposed in the literature. The proposed model performance is superior to the single ANN and other existing attenuation models. The SA-ANN model is highly correlated to the actual records (R = 0.835 and ρ = 0.0908) and it is subsequently converted into a tractable design equation.

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