Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
4722065 Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C 2008 8 Pages PDF
Abstract

This research assesses the severity of future water scarcity and its impact on the growth of human civilization through system dynamics modeling of the world at regional level. Six sectors of activities are modeled in each continent to represent the human society. Continental interactions such as migration and trade are also modeled to express the synergy of activities among the various continents. Results of the model simulations from 1960 to 2100 show that water scarcity, unlike other limitations such as nonrenewable resources and persistent pollution, gives severe, detrimental problems within short delays after its occurrence.

Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Earth and Planetary Sciences Geochemistry and Petrology
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