| Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4981166 | Safety Science | 2017 | 10 Pages |
Abstract
In this paper, by means of a critical synthesis of evidence from multiple disciplines, we argue that it is plausible that expert judgement deserves special standing, but only for well understood local causal mechanisms. We also conclude that expert judgements can be improved by using appropriate elicitation techniques, including by combining judgement from multiple experts. There is, however, no evidence to suggest that fuzzy, neural network, or any other form of complicated processing of expert judgement has any advantage over simple combination mechanisms.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Chemical Engineering
Chemical Health and Safety
Authors
Andrew Rae, Rob Alexander,