Failure analysis of a welded steel pipe at Kullar fault crossing

The failure behavior of the Thames water pipe during 1999 Kocaeli earthquake is simulated by utilizing a 3D nonlinear continuum FE model. The numerical model considers contact surface at soil pipe interface and performs large deformation analyses of the pipe. The locations of wrinkles as well as axial displacements/rotations demands due to fault rupture are predicted. It is observed that once wrinkle initiates, strain in the pipe away from the wrinkle reduces after initial local buckling and additional shortening of the pipeline tends to accumulate at the wrinkle causing large plastic strains and rotation demands associated with fault rupture, an observation consistent with field observations and 2005 ALA guidelines.