Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5053080 Economic Modelling 2017 9 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We investigate the influence of Central Bank of Brazil actions on market uncertainty.•Unlike related papers, we measure market uncertainty by risk-neutral interest rate volatility.•We use event study to test the effects of the Central Bank of Brazil actions on market uncertainty.•Volatility is reduced around the monetary policy decision and the minutes release dates.

This paper investigates how Central Bank of Brazil (CBB) actions influence market uncertainty. We consider two kinds of actions: the monetary policy decision about the interest rate target and the pure communication event of this decision published one week later. Unlike related papers, we measure the market uncertainty by the implied volatility extracted from interest rate options. Implied volatility is more suitable than physical volatility to assess economic effects since it encompass market beliefs adjusted by risk. We use an event study approach to evaluate the impact of CBB actions. The results show that both the decisions about the target rate and the communication event reduce the interest rate volatility.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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