Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5055510 Economic Modelling 2012 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper explores some properties of periodically collapsing bubbles, which are a very popular model in the bubbles literature. We first demonstrate that complicated nonlinear bubbles can be represented as a time-varying parameter linear model of order 1. We demonstrate that the bubbles are explosive and nonstationary. We also derive conditions under which the bubbles are strictly stationary. We also demonstrate that the bubbles cannot be weakly stationary by deriving the tail indices of the strictly stationary distribution.

► We explore properties of periodically collapsing bubbles, proposed by Evans (1991). ► The bubbles can be represented as a time-varying parameter linear model. ► We show that under the conditions in Evans, the bubbles are nonstationary. ► We derive conditions under which the bubbles are strictly stationary. ► We derive the tail indices of the strictly stationary distribution.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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