Testing for predictability in equity returns for European transition markets

This paper presents empirical evidence of short and long-run predictability in stock returns for European transition economies. We employ variance ratios with a bootstrap methodology to test for short-run predictability, which is present in most countries. We also estimate Hurst exponents to test for long-range dependence, and find evidence of such. Furthermore, we find evidence of strong time-varying long-range dependence in these economies stock returns, which is in line with evidence of multifractality of equity returns.