Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5057994 Economics Letters 2016 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Equity prices over long periods can be described as bull and bear market cycles.•A test to analyze structural changes in these cycle durations is proposed.•There is evidence of structural break in the bull market duration in April, 1942.

We propose a recursive test to analyze structural changes in duration of bull and bear markets. Using the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, we detected a single structural break in the bull market duration in April, 1942.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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