Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5058259 Economics Letters 2016 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Under adaptive learning an anticipated disinflation causes a recession.•This resolves the disinflationary-booms anomaly to the standard New Keynesian model.•Agents' econometric model is based on the rational expectations equilibrium solution.

In the New Keynesian model under rational expectations a disinflation announced in advance causes an expansion. This anomaly is robust to the assumption that monetary policy follows a Taylor rule. I show that under adaptive learning an anticipated disinflation causes a recession. Thus learning offers a resolution to the disinflationary-booms anomaly.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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