Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5058552 | Economics Letters | 2015 | 4 Pages |
Abstract
â¢Policymakers should monitor disaggregated survey data when analyzing inflation dynamics.â¢Different demographic groups' expectations have varying significance in the Phillips curve.â¢High-income, highly-educated males' expectations have greatest weight in the Phillips curve.
This letter uses consumer survey data to estimate expectations-augmented Phillips curves with inflation expectations disaggregated by socioeconomic and demographic groups. The inflation expectations of high-income, college-educated, male, and working-age people play a larger role in inflation dynamics than do the expectations of other groups of consumers or of professional forecasters.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Authors
Carola Conces Binder,