Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5059017 Economics Letters 2015 4 Pages PDF
Abstract

•Well anchored inflation expectations should not respond to economic news.•News-regressions with multiple breaks are applied to US break-even inflation rates.•Expectations have been de-anchored during the financial crisis.•Our results indicate that expectations have not been re-anchored ever since.

If long-term inflation expectations are well-anchored, they should be unaffected by short-term economic news. This letter introduces news-regressions with multiple endogenous breaks to investigate the de- and re-anchoring of US inflation expectations. We confirm earlier evidence on the de-anchoring of expectations driven by the outbreak of the crisis. Our results indicate that expectations have not been re-anchored ever since.

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Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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