Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5059017 | Economics Letters | 2015 | 4 Pages |
Abstract
â¢Well anchored inflation expectations should not respond to economic news.â¢News-regressions with multiple breaks are applied to US break-even inflation rates.â¢Expectations have been de-anchored during the financial crisis.â¢Our results indicate that expectations have not been re-anchored ever since.
If long-term inflation expectations are well-anchored, they should be unaffected by short-term economic news. This letter introduces news-regressions with multiple endogenous breaks to investigate the de- and re-anchoring of US inflation expectations. We confirm earlier evidence on the de-anchoring of expectations driven by the outbreak of the crisis. Our results indicate that expectations have not been re-anchored ever since.
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Authors
Dieter Nautz, Till Strohsal,