Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5060761 Economics Letters 2012 5 Pages PDF
Abstract
► State-local expenditures contain stable information to explain US inflation. ► These also explain a larger share of the forecast error variance (FEV) of US inflation than the federal funds rate (FFR). ► Non-defense federal expenditures help predict real output variations. ► From the 1980s, these explain more of the FEV of US real output than the FFR.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
Authors
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