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Predictable non-linearities in U.S. inflation

Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5062639 Economics Letters 2006 6 Pages PDF
Abstract

This paper compares the out-of-sample inflation forecasting performance of two non-linear models; a neural network and a Markov switching autoregressive (MS-AR) model. We find that predictable non-linearities in inflation are best accounted for by the MS-AR model.

Keywords
C53C52E37C45Recurrent neural networksMarkov switching modelsInflation forecasting
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
Preview
Predictable non-linearities in U.S. inflation
Authors
Jane M. Binner, C. Thomas Elger, Birger Nilsson, Jonathan A. Tepper,
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Journal
Economics Letters
Journal: Economics Letters
Related Categories
C53
C52
E37
C45
Recurrent neural networks
Markov switching models
Inflation forecasting
Economics and Econometrics
Economics, Econometrics and Finance (General)
Finance
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