Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5066735 European Economic Review 2015 25 Pages PDF
Abstract

•I study optimal long-run inflation with occasionally binding financial constraints.•The optimal long-run inflation rate is positive (1-3% annually).•Positive inflation is a result of an endogenous asymmetric cost-push shock.•The positive mean of the cost-push shock makes the mean of inflation positive.•Positive inflation smoothes the financial constraint-induced “labor wedge”.

This paper studies the optimal long-run inflation rate in a simple New Keynesian model with occasionally binding collateral constraints that intermediate-good firms face on hiring labor. The paper finds that the optimal long-run annual inflation rate is around 1.5% if the economy is hit by a total factor productivity (TFP) shock and nearly 2.5% if the economy is subject to a markup shock. The shadow value of the collateral constraint is akin to an endogenous cost-push shock. Differently from usual cost-push shocks, however, this shock is asymmetric as it takes non-negative values only. Since the mean of this asymmetric endogenous cost-push shock is positive, inflation is also positive on average. In addition, a binding collateral constraint resembles a time-varying tax on labor, which the monetary authority can smooth by setting a positive inflation rate. More generally, the basic result is related to standard Ramsey theory in that optimal policy smoothes distortions over time.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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