Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5066894 European Economic Review 2013 21 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We estimate the displacement effect of pension wealth on household savings•We use the retrospective SHARELIFE survey on 13 European countries•We can compute the present value of lifetime income for older households•Each Euro of pension wealth is associated with a decline in discretionary wealth•The point estimates range between 47% and 61%, with a lower bound between 17% and 30%

We use recently collected retrospective survey data to estimate the displacement effect of pension wealth on household savings. The third wave of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, SHARELIFE, collects information on the entire job history of the respondent, a feature missing in most previous studies. We show that addressing measurement error problems is crucial to estimate the displacement effect when using survey data. We find that each euro of pension wealth is associated with a 47 (61) cent decline in non-pension wealth using robust (median) regression. In the presence of biases from measurement errors and omitted (unobserved) variables, we estimate a lower bound to the true offset between 17% and 30%, significantly different from zero. Instrumental variables regression estimates, although less precise, suggest full displacement.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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