Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5066894 | European Economic Review | 2013 | 21 Pages |
â¢We estimate the displacement effect of pension wealth on household savingsâ¢We use the retrospective SHARELIFE survey on 13 European countriesâ¢We can compute the present value of lifetime income for older householdsâ¢Each Euro of pension wealth is associated with a decline in discretionary wealthâ¢The point estimates range between 47% and 61%, with a lower bound between 17% and 30%
We use recently collected retrospective survey data to estimate the displacement effect of pension wealth on household savings. The third wave of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, SHARELIFE, collects information on the entire job history of the respondent, a feature missing in most previous studies. We show that addressing measurement error problems is crucial to estimate the displacement effect when using survey data. We find that each euro of pension wealth is associated with a 47 (61) cent decline in non-pension wealth using robust (median) regression. In the presence of biases from measurement errors and omitted (unobserved) variables, we estimate a lower bound to the true offset between 17% and 30%, significantly different from zero. Instrumental variables regression estimates, although less precise, suggest full displacement.