Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5083308 | International Review of Economics & Finance | 2016 | 15 Pages |
â¢We study the comovement of stock and sovereign bond markets of the Euro Area.â¢We use a DDC model to measure the covariances between returns.â¢We use a new approach to measure risk factors based on Google search data.â¢These correlate with economic indicators and are available at a weekly frequency.â¢The factors explain 55% (35%) of the covariances between stocks (sovereign bonds).
We show, in a broad class of affine general equilibrium models with long-run risk, that the covariances between asset returns are linear functions of risk factors. We use a dynamic conditional correlation model to measure the covariances of stock and sovereign bond markets in the Euro Area. We use a new approach to measure risk factors based on Google search data. The factors explain 50 to 60% of the variation of the covariances between European stocks and 25 to 35% of the covariances between European bonds. The information improves the portfolio performance compared to an equally weighted portfolio.