Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5083468 International Review of Economics & Finance 2015 16 Pages PDF
Abstract

•We investigate the effects of area-wide shocks in a group of Eurozone countries.•The (near) structural VAR methodology is adopted to recover the exogenous shocks.•We find that a common monetary policy shock causes a recession in all countries.•Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Belgium have business cycle fluctuations dominated by Euro-are shocks.•Greece, Ireland and Portugal exhibit fluctuations whose main drivers are national shocks.

This paper investigates the dynamic effects of common macroeconomic shocks in shaping business cycle fluctuations in a group of Euro-area countries. In particular, by using the structural (near) VAR methodology, we investigate the effect of area-wide shocks, with particular attention to monetary policy shocks. The main conclusion is that: (a) contractionary monetary policy shocks cause similar recessionary effects in all countries; (b) as far as business cycle fluctuations are concerned, there is a separation into two distinct groups of countries, with a first group including the biggest European economies in which business cycle fluctuations are mainly explained by common, area-wide shocks and a second one, including Greece, Ireland and Portugal, in which the national shocks play, instead, a much greater role.

Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Econometrics
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