Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5089554 | Journal of Banking & Finance | 2013 | 13 Pages |
Abstract
This paper provides the first comprehensive study of the horizon effect in tests of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis. It estimates Fama regressions employing 1-month through to 10-year horizon data for the five most heavily traded US dollar currency pairs pre-crisis 1980-2006. In contrast with extant studies, it fully deals with the econometric problems of long horizon regressions by means of a novel heteroskedastic- and autocorrelation-consistent bootstrap. The regression results confirm a clear horizon effect in that the slope coefficient approaches unity as the forward contract maturity is extended. The puzzle disappears at the 3-year horizon and beyond for all currencies.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
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Economics and Econometrics
Authors
Stuart Snaith, Jerry Coakley, Neil Kellard,