Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5098511 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2014 23 Pages PDF
Abstract
Assuming, for illustrative purposes, that the two series contain a common component inducing negative long-horizon covariation, evidence based on structural VARs shows that this common shock (i) plays an important role in macroeconomic fluctuations, explaining sizeable fractions of the forecast error variance of main macro series, and (ii) generates 'disinflationary booms', characterized by transitory increases in hours, and decreases in inflation.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Control and Optimization
Authors
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