Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5099242 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control | 2008 | 25 Pages |
Abstract
To put our claim in context, we describe the 'core/non-core' approach used in the Bank of England's Quarterly Model, and compare it with two others: the 'measurement error' approach of Ireland and the 'shocks-in-parameters' approach utilised by Smets and Wouters and others. Using a mock forecast scenario for illustration, we argue that each of these approaches would present model users with difficulties in communicating with policymakers. We conjecture that it is this problem, not theory or fitting the data, that currently hinders more widespread influence of DSGE-type models on policy-making.
Keywords
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering
Mathematics
Control and Optimization
Authors
Pedro Alvarez-Lois, Richard Harrison, Laura Piscitelli, Alasdair Scott,