Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5099882 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2007 28 Pages PDF
Abstract
We develop a model of optimal reserve holdings where the reserve authority controls the upward and downward drift of international reserves and chooses the trigger points that induce changes in drift. We argue that this drift control model better describes the dynamic behavior of reserves than does the popular buffer stock model. We present an innovative mathematical tool for analyzing the drift control based on martingale stopping theory. Since the reserve authority has more instruments with drift control than with a buffer-stock strategy, it can manage reserves at significantly lower cost.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Mathematics Control and Optimization
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