Article ID | Journal | Published Year | Pages | File Type |
---|---|---|---|---|
5101474 | Journal of Monetary Economics | 2017 | 38 Pages |
Abstract
The literature documents a heterogeneous asset price response to macroeconomic news announcements. We relate this heterogeneity to a novel measure of the intrinsic value of an announcement-the announcement's ability to nowcast GDP growth, inflation, and the federal funds target rate-and find that differences across the intrinsic values of several U.S. macroeconomic announcements explain a significant fraction of the variation in the impact each of these announcements has on U.S. Treasury yields. We also decompose the intrinsic value into the announcement's relation to fundamentals, a timeliness premium, and a revision premium, and find that the former two characteristics are the most important ones in explaining the heterogeneous response.
Related Topics
Social Sciences and Humanities
Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Economics and Econometrics
Authors
Thomas Gilbert, Chiara Scotti, Georg Strasser, Clara Vega,