Article ID Journal Published Year Pages File Type
5106434 Journal of Commodity Markets 2017 14 Pages PDF
Abstract
The role of gold as a safe haven asset has been extensively studied in recent years. This article extends previous literature and examines time varying safe haven properties versus equities and bonds of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium) across eleven countries. Results suggest that the metals each play safe haven roles; there are times when one metal is not while another may be a safe haven against an asset. The second part of this article attempts to identify robust economic and political determinants of precious metals safe haven properties applying zero-inflated Poisson regression (ZIP) and extreme bound analysis (EBA). Economic Policy Uncertainty is found to be a positive and robust determinant of a precious metal being a safe haven. This holds across countries. Stock volatility, exchange rates, interest rate and credit spreads are also found to be significant, but results are quite mixed for different markets and are fragile of model specification.
Related Topics
Physical Sciences and Engineering Energy Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
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